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How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]
How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]

Estimate

1,196,000

0

2,000,000

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 353.26 US_DEP25_DO / 40k sDAI
  • UP: 144k US_DEP25_UP / 63k sDAI

$213k

Scalar

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Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?
Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?

Yes 15.7%

No 84.3%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 69k YES / 4k sDAI
  • No: 70k NO / 78k sDAI

$172k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Who will win or advance to the next round in Round 1 of the 2025 Polish presidential election?
Who will win or advance to the next round in Round 1 of the 2025 Polish presidential election?

Karol Nawrocki 0.153

Rafał Trzaskowski 0.560

Szymon Hołownia 0.010

Liquidity:

  • Karol Nawrocki: 32k POL25_NAWRO / 5k sDAI
  • Rafał Trzaskowski: 33k POL25_TRZAS / 12k sDAI
  • Szymon Hołownia: 33k POL25_HOLOW / 220.68 sDAI
  • Sławomir Mentzen: 33k POL25_MENTZ / 5k sDAI
  • A candidate or candidates not listed: 33k POL25_OTHER / 180.20 sDAI

$57k

Multi Categorical

Reward: 64k SEER/day

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The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]
The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]

Estimate

2.5

0

4

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 12k EU_INFL25DO / 6k sDAI
  • UP: 12k EU_INFL25UP / 27k sDAI

$51k

Scalar

Reward: 16k SEER/day

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What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]
What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

Estimate

80.6

60

100

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 16k CFPBN_ASCID / 16k NO
  • UP: 13k CFPBN_ASCIU / 16k NO

$51k

Scalar

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?" being "No"

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?

Yes 16.2%

No 83.8%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 16k H5US10K_YES / 2k sDAI
  • No: 16k H5US10K_NO / 15k sDAI

$36k

Categorical

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]
What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

Estimate

79.36

60

100

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 32k CFPBY_ASCID / 12k YES
  • UP: 33k CFPBY_ASCIU / 11k YES

$32k

Scalar

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?" being "Yes"

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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Who will win or advance to the next round in the re-run of Round 1 of the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Who will win or advance to the next round in the re-run of Round 1 of the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?

Călin Georgescu 0.249

Elena Lasconi 0.201

Marcel Ciolacu 0.104

Liquidity:

  • Călin Georgescu: 18k CLIN_GEORGE / 10.95 sDAI
  • Elena Lasconi: 18k ROPRESRR_EL / 4.04 sDAI
  • Marcel Ciolacu: 18k ROPRESRR_MC / 8.14 sDAI
  • George Simion: 26.92 ROPRESRR_GS / 3k sDAI
  • A candidate or candidates not listed: 8.43 ROPRESRROTH / 3k sDAI
  • Invalid: 441.99 SER-INVALID / 6.00 sDAI

$18k

Multi Categorical

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Will Denmark agree before 1 July 2025 to make changes to its relationship with Greenland?
Will Denmark agree before 1 July 2025 to make changes to its relationship with Greenland?

Yes 18.4%

No 81.6%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 2k DEN_GREEN_Y / 2.44 sDAI
  • No: 976.78 DEN_GREEN_N / 552.31 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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How many seats in Canada's House of Commons will the [party name] win in the 45th Canadian federal election?
How many seats in Canada's House of Commons will the [party name] win in the 45th Canadian federal election?

Liberal Party 51.5%

Conservative Party 38.4%

Bloc Québécois 5.8%

Liquidity:

  • Liberal Party: 887.02 CA25_LIB / 413.07 sDAI
  • Conservative Party: 824.75 CA25_CON / 323.76 sDAI
  • Bloc Québécois: 1k CA25_BQ / 40.87 sDAI
  • New Democratic Party: 0.00 CA25_NDP / 18.66 sDAI
  • Green Party: 1k CA25_GREEN / 13.56 sDAI
  • Independents + parties entering the House of Commons: 1k CA25_INDNEW / 6.81 sDAI

$2k

Multi Scalar

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Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the governing coalition formed following the German snap election?
Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the governing coalition formed following the German snap election?

Yes 11%

No 89%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 2k GERGOVAFD_Y / 0.00 sDAI
  • No: 516.68 GERGOVAFD_N / 876.37 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?
Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?

Yes 29.1%

No 70.9%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 820.00 COVIDRETYES / 159.37 sDAI
  • No: 708.85 COVIDRETNO / 448.26 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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World War 3: Will any type of nuclear device be used offensively in Q2 2025?
World War 3: Will any type of nuclear device be used offensively in Q2 2025?

Yes 3%

No 97%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 999.38 NUKE25Q2YES / 20.55 sDAI
  • No: 686.24 NUKE25Q2NO / 473.12 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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Winner of the run-off in the 2024 Romanian presidential election?
Winner of the run-off in the 2024 Romanian presidential election?

Călin Georgescu 33.9%

Elena Lasconi 12.6%

Liquidity:

  • Călin Georgescu: 669.48 ROM24_PR_CG / 332.37 sDAI
  • Elena Lasconi: 634.59 ROM24_PR_EL / 44.27 sDAI
  • Invalid: 278.67 SER-INVALID / 339.27 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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Will the EU impose new or increased tariffs or taxes on Alphabet companies (i.e., Google) before 1 June 2025?
Will the EU impose new or increased tariffs or taxes on Alphabet companies (i.e., Google) before 1 June 2025?

Yes 62.4%

No 37.6%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 660.47 EUGOOGTAX_Y / 236.18 sDAI
  • No: 285.38 EUGOOGTAX_N / 248.67 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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Will Alice Weidel become the next Chancellor of Germany after the February 2025 election?
Will Alice Weidel become the next Chancellor of Germany after the February 2025 election?

Yes 4.5%

No 95.5%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 923.39 YES / 0.01 sDAI
  • No: 430.82 NO / 551.56 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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Will the EU & US agree to ‘zero-for-zero’ tariffs on industrial goods before 1 May 2025?
Will the EU & US agree to ‘zero-for-zero’ tariffs on industrial goods before 1 May 2025?

Yes 31.3%

No 68.7%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 600.00 USEU040_YES / 268.08 sDAI
  • No: 310.34 USEU040_NO / 475.38 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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Will NATO issue a formal invitation for Ukraine to join before the end of 2025?
Will NATO issue a formal invitation for Ukraine to join before the end of 2025?

Yes 15.3%

No 83.9%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 876.98 UKRNATO25_Y / 0.06 sDAI
  • No: 227.19 UKRNATO25_N / 499.88 sDAI
  • Invalid: 877.00 SER-INVALID / 0.03 sDAI

$978.87

Categorical

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Will President Trump sign legislation into law that eliminates all capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies issued by U.S. companies?
Will President Trump sign legislation into law that eliminates all capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies issued by U.S. companies?

Yes 33.1%

No 66.9%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 600.00 CRYP_CAPG_Y / 139.65 sDAI
  • No: 519.95 CRYP_CAPG_N / 320.22 sDAI

$924.04

Categorical

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Will the EU impose new or increased tariffs on US alcohol imports before 1 May 2025?
Will the EU impose new or increased tariffs on US alcohol imports before 1 May 2025?

Yes 11.9%

No 88.1%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 281.25 EUBOOZETARY / 52.85 sDAI
  • No: 203.67 EUBOOZETARN / 527.41 sDAI

$864.65

Categorical

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