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Andrew Cuomo 79.8%

Zohran Mamdani 19.2%

Someone else 1%

Liquidity:

  • Andrew Cuomo : 78k ANDREW_CUOM / 81k sDAI
  • Zohran Mamdani: 71k ZOHRAN_MAMD / 21k sDAI
  • Someone else: 77k SOMEONE_ELS / 593.92 sDAI

$202k

Categorical

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Yes 16.4%

No 83.6%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 67k YES / 4k sDAI
  • No: 78k NO / 72k sDAI

$171k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 34.7%

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP) 19.9%

Democratic Party For the People (DPP) 14.3%

Liquidity:

  • Liberal Democratic Party (LDP): 50k LIBERAL_DEM / 12k sDAI
  • Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP): 50k CONSTITUTIO / 7k sDAI
  • Democratic Party For the People (DPP): 50k DEMOCRATIC_ / 5k sDAI
  • Japan Innovation Party (Ishin): 50k JAPAN_INNOV / 2k sDAI
  • Komeito (Komei): 50k KOMEITO_KOM / 3k sDAI
  • Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa): 50k REIWA_SHINS / 1k sDAI
  • Japanese Communist Party (JCPY): 50k JAPANESE_CO / 933.15 sDAI
  • Sanseitō (DIY): 50k SANSEIT_DIY / 295.88 sDAI
  • Conservative Party of Japan (CPJ): 50k CONSERVATIV / 363.93 sDAI
  • Social Democratic Party (SDP): 50k SOCIAL_DEMO / 86.88 sDAI
  • Others: 50k OTHERS / 548.38 sDAI
  • Invalid: 1.00 SER-INVALID / 2.18 sDAI

$91k

Multi Scalar

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Estimate

300.8

100

500

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 25k EM_Y_TSLA_D / 22k ELON_CEO_Y
  • UP: 25k EM_Y_TSLA_U / 22k ELON_CEO_Y

$64k

Scalar

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Estimate

2.504

0

4

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 12k EU_INFL25DO / 6k sDAI
  • UP: 12k EU_INFL25UP / 27k sDAI

$51k

Scalar

Reward: 16k SEER/day

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Estimate

80.6

60

100

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 16k CFPBN_ASCID / 16k NO
  • UP: 14k CFPBN_ASCIU / 16k NO

$44k

Scalar

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?" being "No"

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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Yes 16%

No 82.4%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 16k H5US10K_YES / 2k sDAI
  • No: 16k H5US10K_NO / 15k sDAI

$36k

Categorical

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Yes 32.9%

No 66.4%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 3k LEPEN_NRYES / 1k sDAI
  • No: 4k LEPEN_NRNO / 10k sDAI

$16k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Estimate

79.36

60

100

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 40k CFPBY_ASCID / 13k YES
  • UP: 41k CFPBY_ASCIU / 12k YES

$12k

Scalar

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?" being "Yes"

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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Estimate

300

100

500

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 25k EM_N_TSLA_D / 22k ELON_CEO_N
  • UP: 25k EM_N_TSLA_U / 22k ELON_CEO_N

$8k

Scalar

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Yes 14.7%

No 84.7%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 4k LPY_NR_YES / 707.73 LEPEN_NRYES
  • No: 4k LPY_NR_NO / 3k LEPEN_NRYES

$3k

Categorical

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?" being "Yes"

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Yes 26%

No 74%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 4k LPN_NR_YES / 1k LEPEN_NRNO
  • No: 4k LPN_NR_NO / 2k LEPEN_NRNO

$3k

Categorical

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?" being "No"

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Far Right (RN, UXD, REC, DSV, EXD, ...) 25%

Right (LR, DVD, …) 7.7%

Centre (ENS, REN, MDM, HOR, UDI, DVC, …) 28.9%

Liquidity:

  • Far Right (RN, UXD, REC, DSV, EXD, ...): 1k FRNAFARRIGH / 189.87 sDAI
  • Right (LR, DVD, …): 1k FRNARIGHT / 51.14 sDAI
  • Centre (ENS, REN, MDM, HOR, UDI, DVC, …): 1k FRNACENTRE / 281.49 sDAI
  • Left (UG, LFI, SOC, COM, VEC, RDG, DVG, EXG, …): 1k FRNALEFT / 241.63 sDAI
  • Other (REG, ECO, DIV, …): 1k FRNAOTHER / 41.62 sDAI

$2k

Multi Scalar

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Yes 31%

No 69%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 1k YES / 330.17 sDAI
  • No: 196.81 NO / 846.09 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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Yes 15%

No 85%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 2k DEN_GREEN_Y / 2.61 sDAI
  • No: 525.62 DEN_GREEN_N / 1k sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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Yes 26.6%

No 72.3%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 1k COVIDRETYES / 81.24 sDAI
  • No: 723.23 COVIDRETNO / 458.09 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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Estimate

1,154,000

0

2,000,000

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 204.95 US_DEP25_DO / 68.96 sDAI
  • UP: 1k US_DEP25_UP / 289.89 sDAI

$1k

Scalar

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Yes 3%

No 97%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 1k NUKE25Q2YES / 20.50 sDAI
  • No: 700.85 NUKE25Q2NO / 460.60 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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Estimate

7.928

2

14

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 430.58 HURRI2025_D / 354.42 sDAI
  • UP: 466.01 HURRI2025_U / 336.51 sDAI

$1k

Scalar

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Greenland on a path to independence 0.136

Denmark cedes or sells at least part of Greenland to US 0.009

US receives additional rights 0.025

Liquidity:

  • Greenland on a path to independence: 1k GREEN25IND / 10.00 sDAI
  • Denmark cedes or sells at least part of Greenland to US: 1k GREEN25SELL / 0.01 sDAI
  • US receives additional rights: 1k GREEN25ADDL / 0.00 sDAI
  • Other changes not listed in the market which created this question: 1k GREEN25OTH / 0.00 sDAI
  • No changes agreed to by Denmark: 196.94 GREEN25NONE / 712.33 sDAI

$1k

Multi Categorical

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