Note that this is a Beta version and can still be unstable
Winner of the run-off in the 2025 Romanian presidential election?
Winner of the run-off in the 2025 Romanian presidential election?

George Simion 52.5%

Nicușor Dan 47.2%

Liquidity:

  • George Simion: 127k ROM25_R2_GS / 32k sDAI
  • Nicușor Dan: 52k ROM25_R2_ND / 49k sDAI
  • Invalid: 2k SER-INVALID / 0.67 sDAI

$195k

Categorical

Reward: 190k SEER/day

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Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?
Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?

Yes 17.7%

No 82.3%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 61k YES / 5k sDAI
  • No: 72k NO / 76k sDAI

$174k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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How many seats will the [party] win in the upcoming Portuguese legislative election? [seats]
How many seats will the [party] win in the upcoming Portuguese legislative election? [seats]

Democratic Alliance (PSD & CDS–PP) 36%

Socialist Party 33.5%

Chega! 20.1%

Liquidity:

  • Democratic Alliance (PSD & CDS–PP): 37k PRT25_DA / 13k sDAI
  • Socialist Party: 37k PRT25_SP / 12k sDAI
  • Chega!: 37k PRT25_CHEGA / 7k sDAI
  • Liberal Initiative: 37k PRT25_LI / 2k sDAI
  • Left Bloc: 37k PRT25_LEFTB / 580.49 sDAI
  • Portuguese Communist Party: 37k PRT25_PCP / 579.52 sDAI
  • LIVRE: 37k PRT25_LIVRE / 578.91 sDAI
  • People Animals Nature: 37k PRT25_PAN / 69.54 sDAI
  • Independents & parties entering the Assembly of the Republic: 37k PRT25_IND / 573.28 sDAI

$83k

Multi Scalar

Reward: 64k SEER/day

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Who will win or advance to the next round in Round 1 of the 2025 Polish presidential election?
Who will win or advance to the next round in Round 1 of the 2025 Polish presidential election?

Karol Nawrocki 0.436

Rafał Trzaskowski 0.507

Szymon Hołownia 0.005

Liquidity:

  • Karol Nawrocki: 330.17 POL25_NAWRO / 13k sDAI
  • Rafał Trzaskowski: 43k POL25_TRZAS / 7k sDAI
  • Szymon Hołownia: 52k POL25_HOLOW / 89.15 sDAI
  • Sławomir Mentzen: 52k POL25_MENTZ / 2k sDAI
  • A candidate or candidates not listed: 52k POL25_OTHER / 48.17 sDAI

$57k

Multi Categorical

Reward: 64k SEER/day

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Will Macron dissolve the French National Assembly in 2025?
Will Macron dissolve the French National Assembly in 2025?

Yes 35%

No 65%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 10k NA_DISS_YES / 6k sDAI
  • No: 10k NA_DISS_NO / 30k sDAI

$53k

Categorical

Reward: 64k SEER/day

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The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]
The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]

Estimate

2.504

0

4

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 12k EU_INFL25DO / 6k sDAI
  • UP: 12k EU_INFL25UP / 27k sDAI

$51k

Scalar

Reward: 16k SEER/day

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What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]
What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

Estimate

80.6

60

100

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 16k CFPBN_ASCID / 16k NO
  • UP: 13k CFPBN_ASCIU / 16k NO

$51k

Scalar

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?" being "No"

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]
What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

Estimate

79.36

60

100

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 38k CFPBY_ASCID / 14k YES
  • UP: 39k CFPBY_ASCIU / 13k YES

$39k

Scalar

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?" being "Yes"

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?

Yes 16.2%

No 83.8%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 16k H5US10K_YES / 2k sDAI
  • No: 16k H5US10K_NO / 15k sDAI

$36k

Categorical

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?

Yes 34.1%

No 65.9%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 3k LEPEN_NRYES / 2k sDAI
  • No: 4k LEPEN_NRNO / 10k sDAI

$18k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?
Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Yes 15.2%

No 84.8%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 4k LPY_NR_YES / 999.29 LEPEN_NRYES
  • No: 4k LPY_NR_NO / 11k LEPEN_NRYES

$15k

Categorical

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?" being "Yes"

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?
Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Yes 26%

No 74%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 4k LPN_NR_YES / 6k LEPEN_NRNO
  • No: 4k LPN_NR_NO / 6k LEPEN_NRNO

$13k

Categorical

Conditional Market:

Conditional on "Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?" being "No"

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Will Denmark agree before 1 July 2025 to make changes to its relationship with Greenland?
Will Denmark agree before 1 July 2025 to make changes to its relationship with Greenland?

Yes 16.7%

No 83.3%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 2k DEN_GREEN_Y / 0.68 sDAI
  • No: 619.43 DEN_GREEN_N / 850.11 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?
Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?

Yes 26.4%

No 73.6%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 1k COVIDRETYES / 72.36 sDAI
  • No: 659.77 COVIDRETNO / 484.38 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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Gnosis Pay total volume week of 12-18 May 2025? [USD]
Gnosis Pay total volume week of 12-18 May 2025? [USD]

Estimate

1,972,000

1,500,000

2,500,000

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 261.49 GPAY250512D / 538.93 sDAI
  • UP: 318.93 GPAY250512U / 510.41 sDAI

$2k

Scalar

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How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]
How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]

Estimate

1,200,000

0

2,000,000

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 194.20 US_DEP25_DO / 57.17 sDAI
  • UP: 1k US_DEP25_UP / 362.63 sDAI

$1k

Scalar

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World War 3: Will any type of nuclear device be used offensively in Q2 2025?
World War 3: Will any type of nuclear device be used offensively in Q2 2025?

Yes 3.1%

No 96.9%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 966.24 NUKE25Q2YES / 21.55 sDAI
  • No: 686.24 NUKE25Q2NO / 474.80 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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What changes will Denmark agree to about its relationship with Greenland before 1 July 2025?
What changes will Denmark agree to about its relationship with Greenland before 1 July 2025?

Greenland on a path to independence 0.167

Denmark cedes or sells at least part of Greenland to US 0.011

US receives additional rights 0.030

Liquidity:

  • Greenland on a path to independence: 649.98 GREEN25IND / 61.65 sDAI
  • Denmark cedes or sells at least part of Greenland to US: 649.91 GREEN25SELL / 3.59 sDAI
  • US receives additional rights: 649.95 GREEN25ADDL / 10.82 sDAI
  • Other changes not listed in the market which created this question: 649.95 GREEN25OTH / 10.83 sDAI
  • No changes agreed to by Denmark: 424.27 GREEN25NONE / 515.05 sDAI

$1k

Multi Categorical

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Will the EU impose new or increased tariffs or taxes on Alphabet companies (i.e., Google) before 1 June 2025?
Will the EU impose new or increased tariffs or taxes on Alphabet companies (i.e., Google) before 1 June 2025?

Yes 36.3%

No 63.7%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 1k EUGOOGTAX_Y / 0.02 sDAI
  • No: 8.05 EUGOOGTAX_N / 432.19 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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Who will win the 2025 South Korean presidential election?
Who will win the 2025 South Korean presidential election?

Lee Jae-myung 68.8%

Kim Moon-soo 6.9%

Han Dong-hoon 1.1%

Liquidity:

  • Lee Jae-myung: 627.97 KRPRES25LEE / 226.70 sDAI
  • Kim Moon-soo: 850.00 KRPRES25KIM / 59.68 sDAI
  • Han Dong-hoon: 2k KRPRES25HAN / 0.08 sDAI
  • Hong Joon-pyo: 850.00 KRPRES25HJP / 35.38 sDAI
  • Other candidate: 803.49 KRPRES25OTH / 62.38 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

Reward: 194k SEER/day

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