Who will win the New York City mayoral election of 2025 ?
Who will win the New York City mayoral election of 2025 ?

Zohran Mamdani 71.4%

Eric Adams 11.1%

Andrew Cuomo 16%

Liquidity:

  • Zohran Mamdani: 84k ZOHRAN_MAMD / 84k sDAI
  • Eric Adams: 155k ERIC_ADAMS / 18k sDAI
  • Andrew Cuomo: 71k ANDREW_CUOM / 15k sDAI
  • Curtis Sliwa: 101k CURTIS_SLIW / 453.99 sDAI
  • Jim Walden: 81k JIM_WALDEN / 109.11 sDAI

$236k

Categorical

Reward: 1M SEER/day

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How many seats will [party name] win in Japan's 2025 House of Council elections? [Seats]
How many seats will [party name] win in Japan's 2025 House of Council elections? [Seats]

Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) 34.8%

Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP) 20.1%

Democratic Party For the People (DPP) 14.3%

Liquidity:

  • Liberal Democratic Party (LDP): 50k LIBERAL_DEM / 12k sDAI
  • Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDP): 49k CONSTITUTIO / 7k sDAI
  • Democratic Party For the People (DPP): 50k DEMOCRATIC_ / 5k sDAI
  • Japan Innovation Party (Ishin): 50k JAPAN_INNOV / 2k sDAI
  • Komeito (Komei): 50k KOMEITO_KOM / 3k sDAI
  • Reiwa Shinsengumi (Reiwa): 50k REIWA_SHINS / 1k sDAI
  • Japanese Communist Party (JCPY): 50k JAPANESE_CO / 938.48 sDAI
  • Sanseitō (DIY): 6.44 SANSEIT_DIY / 811.87 sDAI
  • Conservative Party of Japan (CPJ): 50k CONSERVATIV / 370.17 sDAI
  • Social Democratic Party (SDP): 30k SOCIAL_DEMO / 141.93 sDAI
  • Others: 47k OTHERS / 593.62 sDAI
  • Invalid: 1.00 SER-INVALID / 2.18 sDAI

$91k

Multi Scalar

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Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Yes 1%

No 99%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 50k YES_JESUS / 810.02 sDAI
  • No: 51k NO_JESUS / 10k sDAI

$70k

Categorical

Reward: 248k SEER/day

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Tesla (TSLA) stock price at start of 1 September 2025? [USD]
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at start of 1 September 2025? [USD]

Estimate

300.7

100

500

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 26k EM_Y_TSLA_D / 22k ELON_CEO_Y
  • UP: 25k EM_Y_TSLA_U / 22k ELON_CEO_Y

$64k

Scalar

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]
What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

Estimate

80.6

60

100

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 16k CFPBN_ASCID / 16k NO
  • UP: 14k CFPBN_ASCIU / 16k NO

$53k

Scalar

Reward: 32k SEER/day

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The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]
The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]

Estimate

2.508

0

4

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 12k EU_INFL25DO / 6k sDAI
  • UP: 12k EU_INFL25UP / 27k sDAI

$51k

Scalar

Reward: 16k SEER/day

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Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?

Yes 5.7%

No 94.3%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 28k H5US10K_YES / 0.93 sDAI
  • No: 5k H5US10K_NO / 25k sDAI

$35k

Categorical

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Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?

Yes 32.3%

No 67.7%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 3k LEPEN_NRYES / 1k sDAI
  • No: 3k LEPEN_NRNO / 10k sDAI

$16k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Tesla (TSLA) stock price at start of 1 September 2025? [USD]
Tesla (TSLA) stock price at start of 1 September 2025? [USD]

Estimate

296.8

100

500

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 24k EM_N_TSLA_D / 22k ELON_CEO_N
  • UP: 26k EM_N_TSLA_U / 21k ELON_CEO_N

$13k

Scalar

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?
Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?

Yes 0.5%

No 99.5%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 11k YES / 3.13 sDAI
  • No: 313.87 NO / 2k sDAI

$3k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?
Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Yes 14.6%

No 84.7%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 4k LPY_NR_YES / 708.53 LEPEN_NRYES
  • No: 4k LPY_NR_NO / 3k LEPEN_NRYES

$3k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?
Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Yes 26%

No 74%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 4k LPN_NR_YES / 1k LEPEN_NRNO
  • No: 4k LPN_NR_NO / 2k LEPEN_NRNO

$3k

Categorical

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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How many seats in France’s National Assembly will [party bloc] win in the next French legislative election?
How many seats in France’s National Assembly will [party bloc] win in the next French legislative election?

Far Right (RN, UXD, REC, DSV, EXD, ...) 25%

Right (LR, DVD, …) 7.7%

Centre (ENS, REN, MDM, HOR, UDI, DVC, …) 28.9%

Liquidity:

  • Far Right (RN, UXD, REC, DSV, EXD, ...): 944.65 FRNAFARRIGH / 167.08 sDAI
  • Right (LR, DVD, …): 943.72 FRNARIGHT / 41.53 sDAI
  • Centre (ENS, REN, MDM, HOR, UDI, DVC, …): 944.64 FRNACENTRE / 237.11 sDAI
  • Left (UG, LFI, SOC, COM, VEC, RDG, DVG, EXG, …): 944.67 FRNALEFT / 208.83 sDAI
  • Other (REG, ECO, DIV, …): 945.00 FRNAOTHER / 35.37 sDAI

$2k

Multi Scalar

Reward: 65k SEER/day

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Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?
Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?

Yes 26.5%

No 72.2%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 1k COVIDRETYES / 81.24 sDAI
  • No: 723.23 COVIDRETNO / 458.09 sDAI

$2k

Categorical

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How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]
How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]

Estimate

1,114,000

0

2,000,000

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 142.97 US_DEP25_DO / 95.20 sDAI
  • UP: 1k US_DEP25_UP / 222.91 sDAI

$1k

Scalar

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How many North Atlantic hurricanes in 2025? [Hurricanes]
How many North Atlantic hurricanes in 2025? [Hurricanes]

Estimate

7.916

2

14

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 429.39 HURRI2025_D / 355.03 sDAI
  • UP: 466.01 HURRI2025_U / 336.51 sDAI

$1k

Scalar

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Will President Trump sign legislation into law that eliminates all capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies issued by U.S. companies?
Will President Trump sign legislation into law that eliminates all capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies issued by U.S. companies?

Yes 29.2%

No 70%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 917.99 CRYP_CAPG_Y / 49.04 sDAI
  • No: 500.60 CRYP_CAPG_N / 342.59 sDAI

$1k

Categorical

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What will be the “Overall score” listed for Syria (or its main successor state) in The Economist Democracy Index for 2025? [Index, 2 decimals]
What will be the “Overall score” listed for Syria (or its main successor state) in The Economist Democracy Index for 2025? [Index, 2 decimals]

Estimate

2.25

0

5

Liquidity:

  • DOWN: 508.56 SY25_EDI_DO / 203.40 sDAI
  • UP: 510.00 SY25_EDI_UP / 164.11 sDAI
  • Invalid: 500.00 SER-INVALID / 6.78 sDAI

$987.27

Scalar

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Will NATO issue a formal invitation for Ukraine to join before the end of 2025?
Will NATO issue a formal invitation for Ukraine to join before the end of 2025?

Yes 9.8%

No 89.4%

Liquidity:

  • Yes: 890.98 UKRNATO25_Y / 1.97 sDAI
  • No: 278.55 UKRNATO25_N / 462.99 sDAI
  • Invalid: 877.00 SER-INVALID / 0.03 sDAI

$916.09

Categorical

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Who will win Bolivian presidential election on 17 August 2025?
Who will win Bolivian presidential election on 17 August 2025?

Andrónico Rodríguez (AP) 27.1%

Samuel Doria Medina (Unidad) 45.9%

Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga (Libre) 13.1%

Liquidity:

  • Andrónico Rodríguez (AP): 382.91 ANDRNICO_RO / 198.71 sDAI
  • Samuel Doria Medina (Unidad): 32.82 SAMUEL_DORI / 252.77 sDAI
  • Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga (Libre): 332.80 JORGE_TUTO_ / 86.62 sDAI
  • Manfred Reyes Villa (APB Súmate): 382.71 MANFRED_REY / 0.88 sDAI
  • Others: 332.75 OTHERS / 3.73 sDAI

$846.47

Categorical

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