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Who will win Honduras's presidential election in November 2025?

Who will win Honduras's presidential election in November 2025?

Rixi Moncada

39.4%

Nasry Asfura

19.7%

Salvador Nasralla

38.2%

$84.80k

Will Eric Larchevêque announce creating a political movement or running for an election before the end of November 2025?

Will Eric Larchevêque announce creating a political movement or running for an election before the end of November 2025?

Yes

54.2%

No

45.8%

$77.49k

How many seats will [party name] directly win in Hong Kong's Legislative Council election in December 2025? [seats]

How many seats will [party name] directly win in Hong Kong's Legislative Council election in December 2025? [seats]

Democratic Alliance for the Betterment and Progress of Hong Kong (DAB)

54.9%

Business and Professionals Alliance for Hong Kong (BPA)

9.2%

Hong Kong Federation of Trade Unions (HKFTU)

13.8%

$75.75k

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?

Yes

1%

No

99%

$72.89k

The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]

The HICP inflation rate in the European Union for 2025? [Annual average rate of change, 1 decimal]

Estimate

2.508

0

4

$53.95k

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?

Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the US by the end of 2025?

Yes

5.7%

No

94.3%

$36.91k

What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

Estimate

79.2

60

100

$33.19k

What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

What will be the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) for banks in 2026? [index]

Estimate

80.6

60

100

$28.22k

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate in the next French presidential election?

Yes

22.4%

No

77.4%

$17.29k

How many seats in France’s National Assembly will [party bloc] win in the next French legislative election?

How many seats in France’s National Assembly will [party bloc] win in the next French legislative election?

Far Right (RN, UXD, REC, DSV, EXD, ...)

24.9%

Right (LR, DVD, …)

7.7%

Centre (ENS, REN, MDM, HOR, UDI, DVC, …)

29.1%

$7.73k

Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Yes

14.6%

No

84.7%

$4.46k

Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?

Will legislation become law that eliminates the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in 2025?

Yes

0%

No

99.7%

$2.94k

Who will be the next prime minister of the Netherlands?

Who will be the next prime minister of the Netherlands?

Henri Bontenbal

7.1%

Frans Timmermans

1%

Geert Wilders

1.1%

$2.31k

Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Will the National Rally’s candidate win the next French presidential election?

Yes

26%

No

74%

$2.04k

Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?

Will Science retract “The Huanan Seafood Wholesale Market in Wuhan was the early epicenter of the COVID-19 pandemic” by the end of 2025?

Yes

7.7%

No

92.2%

$1.42k

How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]

How many people will be deported (removals, returns & expulsions) from the United States during 2025? [Individuals]

Estimate

1,048,000

0

2,000,000

$1.40k

Will a country, that has not previously done so, announce a Bitcoin reserve, and fund it with at least one BTC by the end of 2025?

Will a country, that has not previously done so, announce a Bitcoin reserve, and fund it with at least one BTC by the end of 2025?

Yes

32.7%

No

67.3%

$1.31k

Will the $100,000 fee for new H-1B visa petitions be actively enforced on January 1, 2026?

Will the $100,000 fee for new H-1B visa petitions be actively enforced on January 1, 2026?

Yes

80%

No

20%

$1.27k

How many North Atlantic hurricanes in 2025? [Hurricanes]

How many North Atlantic hurricanes in 2025? [Hurricanes]

Estimate

5.924

2

14

$1.26k

Will President Trump sign legislation into law that eliminates all capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies issued by U.S. companies?

Will President Trump sign legislation into law that eliminates all capital gains taxes on cryptocurrencies issued by U.S. companies?

Yes

32.9%

No

66.6%

$1.23k

Will Trump admit giving a blowjob to Bill Clinton before the end of 2025?

Will Trump admit giving a blowjob to Bill Clinton before the end of 2025?

Yes

4%

No

96%

$1.20k

Which blockchain will have the highest total value locked (TVL) in euro-pegged stablecoins (as classified by DeFiLlama under peg type = EUR: stablecoins pegged to EUR) on December 31st 2026, according to DeFiLlama data?

Which blockchain will have the highest total value locked (TVL) in euro-pegged stablecoins (as classified by DeFiLlama under peg type = EUR: stablecoins pegged to EUR) on December 31st 2026, according to DeFiLlama data?

Ethereum

14.9%

Solana

14.5%

Binance Smart Chain (BSC)

10.9%

$1.12k

What will be the “Overall score” listed for Syria (or its main successor state) in The Economist Democracy Index for 2025? [Index, 2 decimals]

What will be the “Overall score” listed for Syria (or its main successor state) in The Economist Democracy Index for 2025? [Index, 2 decimals]

Estimate

2.25

0

5

$1.05k

Will Vitalik Buterin explicitly mention Seer in a public forum such as an X post from his verified account, an interview, a blog post or a conference talk by December 1st 2025?

Will Vitalik Buterin explicitly mention Seer in a public forum such as an X post from his verified account, an interview, a blog post or a conference talk by December 1st 2025?

Yes

49.7%

No

50.3%

$1.00k